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利用机器学习评估荷斯坦公牛精子甲基化组对生育力的预测潜力

Assessing the predictive potential of the Holstein bovine sperm methylome for bull fertility using machine learning

PubMed · 配子与性腺 · Genet Sel Evol (IF 未收录) · 文献 · 2026-10-30
Asset A, Costes V, Fouéré C, Raja-Ravi-Shankar A, Danvic CL, Jaffrézic F, Kiefer H, Makowski D
DOI 10.1186/s12711-026-01097-y · PMID 42963578 · 原文链接 ↗ · Scholar
综合 68.0 模型 68.0 · deepseek/deepseek-flash · 强度 low 已入选 精子与男性生殖 AI 与计算生殖医学 生殖遗传与表观遗传 辅助生殖技术与临床结局
新颖 70严谨 80影响 58领域相关 62转化 55

摘要

研究基于351头荷斯坦商业公牛,按授精后56天不返情率分为低育、中性、高育,利用冻精RRBS甲基化数据构建机器学习分类模型,比较LASSO、随机森林、梯度提升与神经网络。所有模型均优于随机分类;独立测试中LASSO准确率0.62,随机森林AUC 0.69,可将识别低育个体的概率提高12.4个百分点。提示精子DNA甲基化可作为公牛生育力预测标志物,但模型性能仍为中等。

原文摘要

BACKGROUND: Bull fertility is a key parameter in the dairy cattle industry, with significant economic implications. DNA methylation is an epigenetic mark essential for fertility, and recent works have highlighted sperm DNA methylation as a promising source of biomarkers for male fertility, but no operational tool has been developed for predicting bull fertility based on DNA methylation. Here, we leveraged existing methylation data to evaluate the potential of DNA methylation for predicting bull fertility with machine learning models. RESULTS: Our study was conducted on a cohort of 351 Holstein commercial bulls, classified as subfertile, neutral and fertile based on a field fertility index (non-return rate of the inseminated cows after 56 days post-insemination). This dataset includes the largest cohort assembled for bull fertility prediction from epigenetic markers. We developed classification models to discriminate subfertile and fertile individuals using a subset of predictors derived from reduced representation bisulfite sequencing data obtained on frozen semen. Four machine learning algorithms were compared: Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO), Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and Neural Networks. To optimize performances of each algorithm and conduct an unbiased assessment of classification accuracy, we used a three-fold cross-validation before final testing on an independent test set. To increase the robustness of the results, model performances were averaged over 20 partitions of the data into training and test sets, to account for variability in bull distribution across sets. All models performed better than random classification. The best model was LASSO according to classification accuracy (0.62) and Random Forest according to Area Under Curve (0.69) computed with the independent test set. CONCLUSIONS: Even with this moderate performance, our models would lead to a 12.4% point increase of the probability of identifying subfertile individuals. These results suggest that sperm DNA methylation holds potential as a relevant source of predictive markers for bull fertility.

推荐理由:样本量较大、交叉验证与独立测试设计规范,是精子表观遗传标记用于雄性生育力预测的实证;但属于牛育种场景且预测性能中等,对人类ART的直接转化有限。

关键词:精子DNA甲基化 · 公牛生育力 · 机器学习 · 表观遗传标志物 · RRBS · 生育力预测

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所属事件:利用机器学习评估荷斯坦公牛精子甲基化组对生育力的预测潜力 热度 3.4 · 1 个来源

条目 #213 · 入库 2026-11-08 11:43 · JSON · Journal Article