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热应激暴露与不孕症患病率的关联:基于通用热气候指数的全球生态学研究

Association between infertility prevalence and exposure to heat stress: an ecological study based on the Universal Thermal Climate Index

PubMed · 配子与性腺 · Front Public Health · 文献 · 2026-10-16
Wang D, Qian J, Zhang X, Mo C, Chen Y, Si Y, Wang Y, He J, Ma J
DOI 10.3389/fpubh.2026.1948152 · PMID 42964441 · 原文链接 ↗ · Scholar
综合 72.0 模型 72.0 · deepseek/deepseek-flash · 强度 low 已入选 辅助生殖技术与临床结局 生殖毒理与环境暴露 精子与男性生殖 避孕与生殖健康
新颖 70严谨 65影响 72领域相关 75转化 50

摘要

本研究为全球生态学分析,覆盖1990–2021年174个国家和地区,用通用热气候指数(UTCI)将年度热应激天数分为中等、强、很强、极强四类,并构建很强与极强热应激的加权评分,采用线性混合效应模型估计其与男女不孕症患病率(ASPR)的关联。结果显示,每增加1天很强和极强热应激,男性不孕症ASPR分别增加1.292与1.654/10万,女性分别增加2.126与7.133/10万;加权评分越高,不孕症患病率越高。结论提示反复热应激暴露可能与人群不孕负担升高相关,但生态学设计无法推断个体因果。

原文摘要

BACKGROUND: Repeated exposure to heat stress may adversely affect reproductive health, yet the population-level relationship between heat stress and infertility has not been well characterized. METHODS: We conducted a global ecological analysis across 174 countries and regions from 1990 to 2021. Heat exposure was quantified as the annual number of days falling into four Universal Thermal Climate Index categories: moderate, strong, very strong, and extreme heat stress. We additionally constructed a weighted score combining very strong and extreme heat stress. Associations with male and female infertility prevalence were estimated using linear mixed-effects models. RESULTS: Each additional day of very strong and extreme heat stress was associated with increases in male infertility ASPR of 1.292 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.675-1.908) and 1.654 (95% CI: 0.214-3.096) per 100,000 population, respectively. The corresponding increases in female infertility ASPR were 2.126 (95% CI: 0.785-3.467) and 7.133 (95% CI: 3.940-10.323) per 100,000 population, respectively. Higher weighted heat-stress scores were also consistently associated with greater infertility prevalence. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that recurrent heat-stress exposure may be associated with a higher population burden of infertility and support consideration of reproductive health in climate-change adaptation and heat-protection strategies.

推荐理由:以UTCI量化热应激并做全球多国纵向生态学关联,为气候变暖与生殖健康议题提供了人群层面新证据;但生态学设计存在混杂与生态学谬误风险,不能直接用于个体风险评估或ART临床决策。

关键词:热应激 · 不孕症 · 通用热气候指数 · 气候变化 · 生态学研究 · 环境暴露

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所属事件:热应激暴露与不孕症患病率的关联:基于通用热气候指数的全球生态学研究 热度 0.0 · 0 个来源

条目 #210 · 入库 2026-11-08 11:43 · JSON · Journal Article